The GreatestIt’s only on the list because it perfectly fit Muhammad Ali, as a one-of-a-kind boxer and man of conviction.
We often hear announcers and commentators say a baseball team is “on pace” to win and lose a certain number of games, by simply applying a team’s current winning percentage over 162 games. Those statements may technically be true, but in a randomness-filled reality, they’re meaningless.Sabermetrics constantly struggles with randomness, an unavoidable fact of sporting life and the reason there’s almost always a difference between a team’s observed performance and its actual talent level. Moreover, the smaller the sample of games, the less confident we can be that what we’re seeing is skill and not luck. We’re fewer than 10 games into Major League Baseball’s season.This is why it’s necessary to regress observed statistics to the mean. Things — including baseball stats — tend to average out. But how much do we need to regress? And which mean should we regress to?The most naïve prior to use would be the league average (in the case of regressing team records, a .500 winning percentage). And the question of how much we need to regress depends on what the preferred ratio is of skill to luck. Sabermetricians typically set a regression to match the number of games it takes for half the variance in team records to be due to talent and half to chance.In that case, we need to add about 67 games of .500 baseball (33½ wins, 33½ losses) to a team’s record, based on seasonal data since the MLB last expanded in 1998. (Here are a couple of mathematical proofs explaining this method as it relates to Bayes’ theorem.)So while the Washington Nationals’ and Milwaukee Brewers’ current MLB co-leading 6-2 records come with a .750 winning percentage, we’d really only expect each of them to have .527 winning percentages from now on, based on the information we have relative to our prior (the population of MLB teams from which the Brewers and Nationals are selected).We can do this for all MLB clubs:Regression to the mean lets us get a better sense of a team’s pace by giving us a realistic estimate of its future winning percentage. That’s why a 1-0 team isn’t on pace to win 162 games; in the absence of other information about the quality of the team, it’s really only on pace to win 82.7 games.Another great thing about this procedure is that the “add 67 games of .500 ball” trick works no matter how far into the season a team is. It’s just as valid now as it will be in late July. The difference between now and then will be the amount of weight that a team’s observed results take in the formula. In April, the .500 prior dominates any team’s projection. By the time 67 games roll around, precisely half of a team’s regressed record will be made up of its observed results, and the other half will be the prior.Of course, we don’t have to limit ourselves to a prior winning percentage of .500 for every team, either. We know that sources such as Las Vegas over/unders and computer projections do a better job of setting preseason expectations than simply expecting every team to finish 81-81. If we plug in an aggregation of Vegas and computer models from before the season as priors (using a standard deviation of nine wins for those predictions), we come to the following regressed-to-the-mean records:Whichever method we use, it’s important to note how long it takes for observed records from the current season to start to have an impact on an assessment of a team’s ability level. At this stage of the season, the only conclusions we can draw should be extremely small relative to the expectations we had for each team a few weeks ago.Correction (April 12, 11:25 p.m.): The second table in an earlier version of this article miscalculated the true win and true loss paces. The correct table appears above.
“CAN YOU BELIEVE THIS?! ABBY WAMBACH HAS SAVED THE USA’S LIFE IN THIS WORLD CUP,” announcer Ian Darke screamed in disbelief. But those who knew Wambach probably weren’t too surprised her dome had rescued the team. In the 2004 Olympic final — also against Brazil — a 24-year-old Wambach scored the game-winning goal in overtime — also with her head. Want some other crazy Wambach stats?According to ESPN’s Paul Carr, Wambach scored a goal every 99.3 minutes for the USWNT, the best rate of the 13 players with 40 or more goals;She holds the USWNT match record (in a six-way tie) for the most goals in a game (5);She also holds the USWNT career record for the most multiple-goal games (39);And the most yellow cards (23) — a result of her tenacity in her early days, and her flop-like tendencies in her later days.But snapshot statistics don’t do Wambach justice. For more than a decade, she dictated the style of American women’s soccer (for better or for worse). Wambach will play her last game for the USWNT on Dec. 16, but her legacy will live on in long balls and last-minute headers, a relic of the ’99-ers style of play that many are ready to retire … until the U.S. needs saving and Wambach won’t be there to header one home. With 184 international goals — the most of any soccer player in the world, male or female — Abby Wambach is going out on top. The 14-year veteran of the U.S. women’s national team (USWNT) announced her retirement today (after snapping a selfie with POTUS, no less), marking the end not just of her reign in women’s soccer but also the end of one of the most dominant careers in American sports.Not all great athletes have a single moment that encapsulates their career, but for me, Wambach does. Down 2-1 against Brazil in the 122nd minute of the 2011 Women’s World Cup quarterfinal, the game appeared all but over — a loss for the Americans would have meant the worst performance in a World Cup by any USWNT. A cross from Megan Rapinoe on the left side seemed hopeless, until you saw Wambach on the far right, floating above four Brazilian defenders and heading the ball in. At nearly 6 feet tall, Wambach was plain dominant in the air in the women’s game. She has scored 77 international goals with her Twitter-famous head. That means her head, by itself, is the seventh-most prolific scorer in USWNT history.But focusing only on her head ignores the 107 goals Wambach has scored with the rest of her body. Even minus the headers, Wambach has scored more goals internationally than all but one man.
After a torrid start to the season, Kansas City Chiefs’ rookie running back Kareem Hunt has had a dreadful handful of games. What happened? Has he hit some kind of “rookie wall?” In the video above, we investigate.
Over the years, Ohio State has seen many talented coaches turn teams into national powerhouses. One man who has made OSU his home away from home is baseball manager Bob Todd. Todd began coaching the Buckeyes in the 1988-89 season and hasn’t left. Since his appearance in Columbus, Todd has become the winningest coach in the history of the program — the oldest varsity sport in OSU history.This longevity will allow Todd to join a selective group. With three more wins, Todd will be the 41st coach to win 1,000 games in the history of college baseball.Todd has guided the Buckeyes to a winning record every season.“This just shows I have had some talented players,” he said.Todd may have been trying to be modest by giving his players credit, but every year players find themselves with postseason awards. Todd has had numerous players win Freshman of the Year, Big Ten Player of the Year, Big Ten Pitcher of the Year and so on.Todd’s latest standout pitcher is junior Alex Wimmers. Last year, Wimmers threw the first nine-inning no-hitter in OSU history against Michigan.“It would be a great honor to be on the field to get [Todd’s] 1,000 win,” Wimmers said.Todd’s teams haven’t always been great but they find ways to shine.In 1991, Todd’s fourth season, the team set a school record with 52 wins and made it to the NCAA Tournament. In 2002, the Buckeyes had to win 15 of the last 17 games just to make it into the Big Ten Tournament. Once in the tournament, they won four of five games to win the tournament and secure a berth in the NCAA Tournament.Todd has also produced players to go on and play professional baseball. Just this year former Buckeye great Nick Swisher was celebrating a World Series title with the New York Yankees.In 1999, OSU was one of two northern schools to host an NCAA regional. That same year OSU found itself one game away from the College World Series before getting knocked out.The Buckeyes start their season this Friday, looking to defend their Big Ten regular season title.
It took the Ohio State men’s lacrosse team a while to get going, but once it did, it never looked back. The Buckeyes beat the Detroit Titans, 14-8, in Saturday’s season opener at the Woody Hayes Athletic Center. Following the trend that started during preseason play, OSU went into an offensive hibernation for about 10 minutes during the first period and allowed Detroit to take a 3-1 lead. “We kind of let up a bit on the offensive end,” said senior attacker and co-captain Logan Schuss. “We didn’t make some of the opportunities we had, but overall we got into our offense and that’s what coach wanted.” The Buckeyes trailed 3-2 at the end of the first period but managed to come back during the second period, outscoring Detroit, 4-3. Heading into the locker room at halftime tied 6-6, OSU coach Nick Myers said he knew he had to say something to get his team going against a talented Detroit team. “I told them to take a deep breath. It’s 30 minutes left, it’s 0-0,” Myers said. “It’s not the first half that we intended to play, so let’s go out there and play the second half the way we know we can.” The Buckeyes kept up their second period pace during the third and fourth periods, out-scoring Detroit 8-2 en route to the victory. OSU improved its all-time record against Detroit to 5-0, all under Myers. OSU also remains undefeated at the Woody Hayes Athletic Center with the win, with 11 wins and no losses all-time. Schuss had a career day, tying a career high with seven goals and setting a new career high of 10 points in one game. Myers, though, wasn’t surprised. “His job is to score goals. I know Logan would like to have two or three more goals to be honest with you,” Myers said. “If we are going to get him scoring opportunities, he’s going to take care of them. He’s done that for four years for us, it’s a good start for him and we’re going to build on it.” Freshman attacker Tyler Pfister, who scored two goals in his regular season debut for the Buckeyes, said he was encouraged by the teamwork showed during the match. “I think sometimes it’s just us being ourselves. I think we showed today that we can play cohesively. We know our strengths and we can play to them,” Pfister said. OSU is set to travel to Jacksonville, Fla., on Sunday to take on Jacksonville University at 3:15 p.m. in the Moe’s Southwest Grill Classic.
Head coach Chris Holtmann talks to the Buckeyes during a timeout in the second half of the game against Michigan State at the Big Ten tournament on Mar. 14 in Chicago. Ohio State lost 77-70. Credit: Casey Cascaldo | Photo EditorOhio State head coach Chris Holtmann has never lost in the Round of 64. Because of the Buckeyes’ 62-59 win against No. 6 Iowa State on Friday, that remains true, remaining 5-0 in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament.But to move into the Sweet 16, the Buckeyes will have to go through No. 3 Houston for an attempt at its first Round of 32 win since 2013, something Holtmann has a less successful history in. In the four previous times Holtmann has led a team into the Round of 32, his teams have went 1-3.Projected StartersNo. 11 Ohio State (20-14)G — C.J. Jackson — Senior, 11.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.1 apgG — Keyshawn Woods — Redshirt senior, 8.0 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.4 apgG — Musa Jallow — Sophomore, 2.8 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 0.7 apgF — Andre Wesson — Junior, 8.7 rpg, 4.0 rpg, 1.8 apgF — Kaleb Wesson — Sophomore, 14.6 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.8 apgNo. 3 Houston (32-3)G — Corey Davis — Senior, 16.9 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 2.8 apgG — Galen Robinson — Senior, 7.8 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 4.9 apgG — Armoni Brooks — Junior, 13.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 0.9 apgF — Braeon Brady — Senior, 6.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 0.5 apgF — Fabian White —Sophomore, 6.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 0.7 apgThe Cougars come in winners of 32 of their 35 games this year, most recently defeating No. 14 Georgia State 84-55.Houston held the Panthers to 30 percent shooting while getting 27 points, seven rebounds and six assists from senior guard Corey Davis.Davis is the Cougars’ leading scorer, averaging 16.9 points per game, shooting 38.2 percent from 3 and a team-high 86.7 percent from the free-throw line.While Houston averages 77.8 points per game, No. 2 in the American Athletic Conference, its strength is on the defensive end.The Cougars allow 61.1 points per game, seventh-least in the NCAA, forcing opponents to 36.5 percent shooting from the field, the lowest in the nation.Teams shoot an NCAA-low 27.5 percent from 3 against Houston on the season.Another strength for Houston is on the boards, with its 1,442 rebounds ranking No. 3 in the NCAA.Against Georgia State, the Cougars outrebounded the Panthers 51-27.The rebounds come from a variety of pieces on the roster, with eight Houston players averaging two rebounds or more.According to KenPom, Houston ranks as the No. 12 team in the country, ranking No. 22 in offensive efficiency and No. 12 in defensive efficiency.The Buckeyes are No. 41 on KenPom, and are given a 32 percent chance to win on the analytics website.No. 11 Ohio State takes on No. 3 Houston in Tulsa, Oklahoma at 8:40 p.m. Sunday.
Mr Caring, also a friend of Tony Blair, has been a major donor to both Labour and Tories and enjoys “non-dom” tax status due to his late father having been a US citizen.He met former model Jacqui, the daughter of a retired British Army major, after meeting her at a catwalk show.She gave up her modelling career three days after they were introduced and the pair went on to have two sons – Jamie, a vice-president of MTV Networks Europe, and Ben, who works for Soho House.Jacqui is still living in their north London home – dubbed ‘The Versailles of Hampstead’.Surrounded by ornamental gardens and high security fences, it has a 55ft ballroom, a private cinema, gilt and marble staircases and paintings by Degas and Matisse are hung on the walls.Lawyers told The Sun that Jacqui could be entitled to half his money.His spokesman said of the split: “No comment.” Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily Front Page newsletter and new audio briefings.
Describing the mother as “friendly”, Mr Wilkinson added: “He (the son) used to play poker, he’d play poker he was a real poker fan and he used to join clubs and things like that. He didn’t speak too much.”His wife added: “He was a quiet boy actually. He was just an ordinary teenager, he must have been about 15 or 16 when they moved in there.”He was very friendly with a lad that lived around in George Street. A couple round there had a lad about the same age and thy were very friendly, he used to go round there and then you would see him come down and go off somewhere.”Another resident, who did not want to be named, said: “Damon went to go to university. He just seemed like a really gentle lad.”He is really smart, really smart. I know he played poker and stuff, he’s really good at it. “From meeting him I would he really surprised. He is the gentlest natured person. He was lovely, you just knew he was smart.” Smith moved to London from Devon this summer, his neighbours claimedCredit:Twitter Several addresses linked to the student have been visited by police since a suspect device was found on board a Tube carriage on the Jubilee Line near the O2 Arena in Greenwich on Thursday.Police, who refused to confirm he was the 19-year-old in custody, raided his former home in Newton Abbot on Saturday and are also understood to have visited a nearby relative.In Devon, officers discovered a second suspect device, understood to be behind a garage, which has since been described as “not viable”. The scene in Newton AbbotCredit:BBC Damon Smith was described as a big poker fanCredit:Twitter Counter-terrorism officers cordoned off streets near the property and are known to have visited at least one relative of Smith’s nearby.The housing association property Smith shared with his mother is just yards from the town’s police station on nearby Baker’s Hill.Ray and Enid Wilkinson, who live on the same street as Smith’s former home, said Smith’s mother was divorced.She said: “We knew the pair there because she had a dog and she used to go past with her dog…. Back in the summer they moved to London, the mother and son. We used to speak to her and the son.”They are Teign Housing Association houses so she put in for a transfer, she told us that she wanted to move.”He went first. He went the son and then one day she said to Ray, I’ll be moving soon, they’ve got me a place in London.” A teenager linked to the London Underground bomb plot was a poker-loving student who was only ever seen with his mother, The Telegraph can disclose.Damon Smith, 19, had moved from Devon to the capital over the summer to attend university. He was joined there by his mother, Antonitza, who feared he would struggle to cope on his own, neighbours claim.On his Twitter account, Smith poses with wads of cash he has won playing poker and also posts pictures of a recent trip to Tunisia and Turkey. The neighbour added: “Mum felt she needed to still be nearby to cook his dinner and stuff. I think that was another reason why I thought he was a bit vulnerable.”It wasn’t just because he was starting university but it was that they were fed up of the area, there was nothing here for them….They were always together, I don’t really remember him being with anyone else. He didn’t have a big friendship circle or anything.”One member of the Smith family told The Telegraph relatives had been told not to speak to the press.Security sources say the man in custody, who was Tasered outside London Metropolitan University on the Holloway Road, close to Arsenal’s football ground, was acting as a “lone wolf “.Scotland Yard has until Friday to question the suspect in custody. The force refused to confirm his identity.A statement said: “Officers are keeping an open mind regarding any possible motive. They are not looking for anyone else in relation to this investigation at this stage.”The discovery and subsequent arrest came 11 years after the 7/7 bombings of the London transport network. Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily Front Page newsletter and new audio briefings.
A British prison has become the world’s first to use a new system designed to stop drones flying over perimeter walls to drop contraband into jails.The device creates a 2,000ft (600m) shield around and above a prison that will detect and deflect the remote-controlled devices.It uses a series of “disruptors”, which are sensors to jam the drone’s computer, and block its frequency and control protocols. The operator’s screen will go black and the drone will be bounced back to where it came from.Drones have become a major security problem in Britain’s prisons and are increasingly used to smuggle in drugs, weapons, phones and other valuables.The new system, called Sky Fence, is being introduced at Les Nicolles prison on Guernsey, where around 20 “disruptors” will be installed on the perimeter and inside.The Channel Island jail was initially going to install a drone detection system, but went a step further to put in the technology that stops drones in-flight. The new system in Guernsey is part of a £1.7 million security upgrade that also includes new cameras, a new lighting system and new alarms.The final phases of the work are being completed and the upgrades are due to be ready by June.Les Nicolles is a mixed category prison which holds both men and women, young offenders and adults, and has a capacity of just 139.It opened in 1989 and its population has fallen to an all-time low in recent years. It is independent of the mainland prison and justice system and is run by the State of Guernsey.Guernsey’s Home Affairs president Deputy Mary Lowe said the introduction of the technology was “an exciting time”.She said: “Here we have Guernsey leading the way in the world.” Credit:Drone Defence / SWNS Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily Front Page newsletter and new audio briefings. Prisoner governor David Matthews said: “This is the first time this technology has been used in any prison anywhere in the world.”I would like to see it adopted in other UK prisons because it has become a significant problem there. Drones can carry weapons, contraband, mobile phones and drugs. This is about prevention.”Sky Fence has been created by UK companies Drone Defence and Eclipse Digital Solutions.Nottingham-based company Drone Defence has worked on the idea in the past year.Founder and CEO Richard Gill said: “It disrupts the control network between the flyer and the drone. The drone then activates return to home mode and it will then fly back to the position where it had signal with its flyer. Credit:Drone Defence / SWNS “Someone described it as the final piece in a prison’s security puzzle. I think it could have a significant worldwide impact.”Mr Gill said the technology is perfectly safe and does not “hack” or damage the drones. It is relatively cheap to install and, depending on the size of the prison, costs range from £100,000 to £250,000.Eclipse managing director Alan Drinkwater said they had modified existing technology to create Sky Fence.